Grace notesa company Nielsentoday released its predictions for the FIFA World Cup 2022, which indicate Brazil And Argentina as the two favorite teams to win in Qatar. Gracenote uses a proprietary football classification system to estimate the probabilities of different outcomes for each 2022 World Cup match through extensive simulations, assessing each team’s chances of reaching different stages of the tournament.
Qatar 2022 Predictions – The odds of success
The analysis shows that the Brazil they are the favorites to win the 2022 World Cup, with a 20% chance of lifting the cup in the final on 18 December. Brazil sit at the top of Gracenote’s world soccer rankings, losing just three games in 50 encounters following their 2018 World Cup elimination by Belgium.
L’Argentina instead, they have a 16% chance of becoming the team’s world champions for the first time since 1986. Following the defeat against France in the 2018 World Cup, Selecciòn suffered four defeats, but the team is now unbeaten for more than three years, since the match ended 2-0 for Brazil in July 2019.
If both the national teams of Brazil and Argentina win in their respective groups, they would advance to the knockout stage in the same half of the draw and meet in the semi-finals. Despite this, according to Gracenote simulations, the World Cup final between Brazil and Argentina it is currently the match most likely to be played on 18 December.
Qatar 2022 Predictions – Most Likely Finals
Below, the most probable finals according to the statistics at Qatar 2022:
- Brazil-Argentina – 3.2%
- Brazil-Belgium – 2.4%
- Belgium-Argentina – 2.3%
- France-Argentina – 2%
- Spain-Brazil – 2%
- Denmark-Brazil – 1.9%
- Portugal-Brazil – 1.9%
- Netherlands-Brazil – 1.8%
- France-Brazil – 1.8%
- Brazil-Uruguay – 1.7%
The main European contenders for this edition’s trophy are the Spain hey Netherlandsboth with a 7% chance of taking home the win, and the Belgium with 6%. According to Gracenote projections, the reigning world champion team, the Francefollows with a 5% chance to repeat.
The 16 teams most likely to qualify for the 2022 World Cup knockout matches are Argentina, Brazil, Netherlands, Portugal, Spain, Belgium, France, Uruguay, Denmark, England, Germany, Switzerland, Ecuador, Croatia, RI Iran and Mexico. The Morocco they are the African team most likely to reach the knockout stages, but start the tournament as third favorites in Group F, behind 2018 semi-finalists Belgium and finalists Croatia.
Simon GleaveHead of Analysis at Gracenote Sports, said: «Based on their performances in international soccer since the last World Cup, Gracenote predicts that Brazil and Argentina will continue to outperform their opponents in the upcoming competition. Over the last four years, no other team has had the same consistency as the two South American giants, thus suggesting a good chance for either side to win in front of fans around the world».