Brazil (without withholdings or traps) plans to increase agricultural production by 36% in the next decade

The Ministry of Agriculture, Livestock and Supply of Brazilbased on a work commissioned to the Brazilian Agricultural Research Company (Embrapa) and the Department of Statistics of the University of Brasilia, projected that, under normal climatic conditions, grain production in Brazil would increase by 36.8% in the next ten years to reach a total of 370.5 million tons in the 2031/32 harvest.

To achieve this goal, the agricultural area should increase by 17% between 2021/22 and 2031/32, to go from 74.3 to 86.9 million hectares.

Regarding soybean, the document foresees that the area in 2031/32 would be 51.5 million hectares versus 41.4 M/ha in 2021/22, while that of corn would happen in the same period of 21 .5 to 24.6 M/ha.

Regarding wheat, it is expected that of the 2.82 million hectares planted in 2021/22, the crop would gain ground year after year to reach 3.31 M/ha in 2031/32. The data is that a decrease in the area of ​​beans and rice is expected.

Anyway, Although a general growth of the area is expected, the great factor that explains the very optimistic forecast are the productivity improvements achieved from the incorporation of capital, that is, of “gray matter”, inputs, information, genetics and biotechnology.

Projected Corn Numbers Are Impressivewith a harvest that, starting from a base of 113.3 million tons in 2021/22, would grow steadily to reach almost 150 million tons in 2031/32 to supply the meat and ethanol industryin addition to consolidating itself as a major world exporter of cereal.

The state of Mato Grosso should lead the expansion of corn production in the next decade. Production should increase from 41.6 million tons in the 2021/2022 harvest to 56.9 million in 2031/2032.

In soybean, on the other hand, the issue will be more distributed, because the states of Mato Grosso, Pará, Rondônia and Mato Grosso do Sul will stand out as leaders in the production expansion of the oilseed.

The study notes that the production of bovine, pork and poultry meat would go from 28.4 million tons in 2021/22 to 35 million tons at the end of the next decade, that is, it would have an increase of 23%.

The greatest increase in production should come from pork with a variation of 29.1% in the period, followed by polo (+25.6%) and beef (+14.9%). The study even notes that such projections are conservative, because Productive improvements achieved through innovations could accelerate the growth of meat protein production.

Pork exports are expected to grow by 38.9% over the next decade, reaching 1.5 million tons. Beef and poultry should also grow, respectively, by 34.1% and 26.2%.

In any case, the work highlights that most of the increase in meat production will go to the domestic market to consolidate the food security of the Brazilian population.

Brazil (without withholdings or traps) plans to increase agricultural production by 36% in the next decade